Summery Pattern Stuck for a While

The summertime pattern our weather’s being influenced by will be stuck for a while.  That means more heat, more humidity, and more spotty showers and thunderstorms each afternoon and evening.

It’s already very warm outdoors as of 8am!

DMA Temps_NoSponsor.png

This afternoon, highs will be in the low 90s in general.  It’ll be cooler over eastern Middle Tennessee where afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be more concentrated.

iCAST TodaysHighs

The heat index this afternoon will peak around 100 around Nashville.

iCAST HeatIndex_OneTime

Since the hottest weather today will be over West Tennessee and southwest Kentucky, a Heat Advisory has been issued there, in effect until 8pm.


FUTURECAST shows how rain and storms will unfold.

If you want to catch an early Independence Day celebration, Lancaster Tennessee (Smith County) will hold it’s 4th of July parade tonight at 6pm.  There will be live music, food, and vendors on hand, too.  Fireworks will cap off the celebration at 9pm.  If you’re going, know there could be a shower or storm early on.  However, the fireworks should be rain-free.

EVENT 1Temp.png

The rain we have today will be concentrated over our eastern communities because a little pocket of energy will drift westward into that area, from the Carolinas.  As that weather system continues to push westward tomorrow, showers and storms will have an equal chance of developing in all areas of the Mid State.  By Tuesday, that same bundle of energy will be positioned near the Mississippi River, so the best rain chance then will be along and west of I-65.


FUTURECAST tonight and tomorrow shows how the weather will become tranquil tonight before storms redevelop on Monday.

Watch News4 Today, airing until 9am.  I’ll show you what’s in store for the 4th of July (Wednesday).  We’ll talk about even higher rain chances in your forecast too.




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1 Response to Summery Pattern Stuck for a While

  1. Fred says:

    June summary
    June 2018 was an unusually hot month. It averaged out 79.7 degrees, making the top 10. It should be noted that June 1874, until recently regarded as the second hottest, at 82.1, is currently considered unofficial and, therefore, removed from the list.
    Hottest Junes in Nashville
    1. 1952 – 84.7
    2. 1914 – 81.7
    3. 1953 & 1943 – 81
    4. 2010 – 80.9
    5. 1944 – 80.8
    6. 1921 – 80
    7. 1936 – 79.8
    8. 2018 & 1890 – 79.7
    9. 1925 – 79.5
    10. 2016 – 79.4
    Considering that we had June for May and July for June, it’s hardly surprising that May-June 2018 now stands as the hottest ever, beating the previous record from 1952 by half a degree, 77.6 and 77.1, respectively. Only two days showed a (slight) deficiency in temperature, no more than 1 degree and two other were normal. With only one normal day in May that is all the relief we have got since April. There were 19 days with the maximum temperature 90 or above and the total for the first six months is an unusually high 28. Impressive as that is, in 1944 Nashville had accumulated 38 such days through June. The lowest daily maximum temperature was 84, tying 2016 and 1952 for the second highest minimum max, behind only June 2010, whose maximum temps were never lower than 86. Speaking of that month, as predicted a couple of weeks ago, it was the only hotter June of the last 65 years. With the last cooler than average June being in 2003, the warm streak for the sixth calendar month is now 15 years and counting, May being a distant second, at 7. No month has ever stayed warm for so long and over that span only Junes 2004-06 and 2017 were moderate, all the others being hot. The last month was also exceedingly muggy, as the following graph, measuring the number of hours of dew point temps in the 70+ range, indicates, viz.:

    As can be seen, Nashville had logged nearly 300 hrs. in that range, the most over the last 45 years depicted.
    Precipitation totaled 3.82 inches, somewhat less than the current average of 4.14. While there was only one really dry June in the last ten years, that of 2012, we haven’t had an excessively wet June since, you guessed it, 2003, the only wet month of its name since 1998, when nearly a foot of rain fell, the all-time record for June.
    While the calendar says July 1, the truth is, it’s been July for weeks now and, presently, there’s no indication the hot, humid weather will change anytime soon. The relief? Well, at least, that’s to be expected this time of year, so, no surprises here.

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