Record Setting February in More Ways than One

This February has been anything but average!  It’s been record setting for temperature and record setting for rainfall.

Temperature-wise, we tied the record high on February 15th, climbing to 77 degrees.  Today, we’ll likely set a new record at 76.  The standing record for February 19th (today) is 75, set back in 1986.

Here’s a look at expected highs where you live this afternoon…

iCAST TodaysHighs.png

We’ve already gotten a nice jump start on the mid 70s we expect later.  As of 8am, mid 60s are already very common!

DMA Temps

Notice there are quite a few holes in the clouds too, letting through sunshine.


In addition to the warmth today, we’ll also have a strong southerly wind.  Winds will gust to 30 mph at times this afternoon, so be especially careful driving.

Commute Forecast

Tomorrow, we have a good chance of setting another high temperature record.  The record for tomorrow is 78 set in 2014.  I’m forecasting 79 degrees!

iCAST TomorrowsHighs

For rain, we set a new daily rainfall record on February 10th with 2.69″ in Nashville.  As it stands right now, this February is the 15th wettest all time.  We’ve received 7.59″ through this morning.  It’s possible we’ll end up making a run at the wettest February on record, which occurred in 1890.  10.95″ fell that month!

Helping us get there will be two important rain systems.  The first will arrive Wednesday and linger into Thursday.  Rain with embedded heavy downpours and some thunderstorms are expected then.

Look at how much rain will fall.


Over the weekend, count on another round of heavy rain.  An inch is likely with that weather maker, too.  It’s even possible a few thunderstorms that develop could become strong.  Since we’re still nearly a week away, we’ll have to monitor how it evolves through this week before getting to detailed on specifics.

7 Day AM

Join us later today on News4.  We’ll track today’s warm-up and have an update on the timing of the rain due in on Wednesday.




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1 Response to Record Setting February in More Ways than One

  1. Fred says:

    More record-setting weather for February is likely for the remainder of the month. If tomorrow we hit 80 or above, it would be the first instance of back-to-back 80+ degree weather in February. As regards the precipitation records, is February 1880’s total considered dubious? According to the official database, 12.37″ fell that month, the most ever for February, along with the all-time daily record of 5.20 for the second month of the calendar. The rather cold winter we had had, seems to have terminated abruptly, rather similar to 2010-11 winter season. To illustrate, since January 19, minimum temperatures of less than 20 degrees (a fair criterion of cold winter temps in Nashville) have occurred just once, ironically, on the Groundhog Day, when the low dipped to 19. By contrast, from Dec. 27 thru January 19, we had 18 such instances, and on five occasions, temps fell into single digits (all in January). The last freeze occurred on the 12th of current month. Should this stand, we’ll have a clear-cut winner, as far as the earliest spring record is concerned. The earliest date on which the last freezing temp of the season was recorded is February 26, 1905, when the second-coldest start to a year was brought to a close in a most dramatic fashion. Of course it’s much too early for such predictions, especially, since March forecast for Middle Tennessee looks to be somewhat colder than average, however, like the “prognostications” of a certain large rodent, these have frequently been proven wrong.

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