February 1: Wintry Change

4WARN Weather Alert tonight due to the change over to winter weather. The winter Weather Advisory is focused on Northeast Middle Tennessee, the most likely spot to receive snow.

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Hard to believe we are talking snow since the high reached 54° this afternoon in Nashville. Temperatures have been dropping throughout the afternoon.

The rain is changing over to wet snow this as this system is moving east, especially areas  north & east of Nashville. Even Nashville had a little sleet mixing in with the rain.

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This system is moving out quickly, that will help keep snowfall totals very low. Here’s the latest Futurecast timing.

2018 RPM4km_fc SATRAD12018 RPM4km_fc SATRAD22018 RPM4km_fc SATRAD3

A dusting to nearly 1″ is possible on the Cumberland Plateau.

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It’ll be colder on Friday but sunny. The will only reach the low 30s. A quick warm up occurs Saturday as the winds change back to the south. The clouds cover will increase, but the rain doesn’t move in until late night Saturday. It remains until Sunday morning then exits before midday. With temperatures remaining above freezing I’ve taken out the winter mix from the forecast. Chillier air is likely Monday but with a sunny sky.

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Late Tuesday into Wednesday, expect more rain with near average high in the upper 40s to near 50. I’ll have an update on News 4 at 10pm.

Lisa Spencer

About Lisa Spencer

Lisa Spencer is the chief meteorologist at WSMV Channel 4 Nashville. You can catch her weathercasts weekdays at 4pm, 5pm, 6pm, 6:30pm and 10pm.
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2 Responses to February 1: Wintry Change

  1. Fred says:

    January wrap-up:

    January 2018 was an unusual month, marked by strong temperature contrasts, lack of extensive cloud cover and scanty rainfall. Cold spell that started late in December continued for the first week of January. From Dec.27 thru January 7 minimum temps stayed below 20 degrees, the second longest such streak (there were 16 consecutive sub-20 days back in January-February,1895). Another week-long cold spell occurred midway through the month, while the last 12 days were quite mild. Monthly average temperature was 36.1, 44th-coldest, out of 144 Januaries on record. With only 1.63″ of measurable precipitation, it was the driest January since 2003 and 16th-driest overall. 2.4″ of snowfall was recorded, only slightly below the average of 2.6. Finally, and, thankfully, it was not a cloudy month. There were only three overcast days, probably the fewest ever for January, and just eight cloudy ones (normal is about 19) which, alongside that of 2003, is the fewest in modern history.

  2. Fred says:

    P.S. Nashville had its first consecutive months that weren’t warm since Jan.-Feb. 2015. Pretty mind-boggling, when you think about it.

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