A good chance of showers and thunderstorms will move in from the northwest Saturday afternoon, with some of the storms becoming potentially severe:
That’s one version of one model, of course…the atmosphere will do what it wants, so here’s an estimate of when the strongest storms will arrive:
Damaging straight-line winds will be the primary threat:
The Storm Prediction Center has included the entire Midstate in a “Marginal Risk” (level 1 of 5) for severe thunderstorms:
I wouldn’t be shocked if a small “Slight Risk” (level 2 of 5) area is eventually drawn up that includes parts of the Midstate — this is a borderline severe weather risk overall, but there will be a LOT of wind energy in the atmosphere overhead. Dan Thomas and I will be here throughout the day Saturday, and we’ll pass along any warnings as soon as they’re issued.
Colder air will come crashing in behind the rain, with temperatures on Sunday starting off in the mid 30s and only warming up to the upper 40s:
If you’re thinking about putting up some Christmas decorations, allow me to advise against that — it will still be breezy, which will make it feel even colder.
A calmer weather pattern is in store next week, with near-normal temperatures and just a slight rain chance:
Don’t worry about that 20% chance — there’s juuuuuuuust enough of a rain signal in the long-range data that I can’t completely rule out a passing shower.
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