October 8: Goodbye To Nate

The remnants of Hurricane Nate are moving quickly to the northeast through eastern Middle Tennessee as I type this, and the system will be entirely out of here by early Monday morning:

The rain associated with former-Hurricane Nate will also move off to the northeast this evening and tonight.  The HRRR model’s radar simulation shows that trend:

It will still be warm and muggy throughout the night, with temperatures barely dropping below 70° by early Monday morning:

We’ll see some patchy dense fog and maybe an isolated shower to start the day Monday, then partial clearing will kick in by the afternoon, with highs reaching the low to mid 80s:

Another round of showers and thunderstorms heads our way late Monday night and Tuesday, and a few of those storms could be strong on Tuesday.  The Storm Prediction Center has already outlined us for a “Marginal Risk” (level 1 of 5) of severe thunderstorms:

That means that while we expect numerous storms, only a few of those storms will even approach severe limits (in this case, 60+mph winds).

We’ll dry out on Wednesday, with the next chance of rain holding off until next Sunday. Temperatures will still top out near 80° Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday, then it’s back to the low to mid 80s late this week:

Advertisements

About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WSMV-TV in Nashville.
This entry was posted in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

One Response to October 8: Goodbye To Nate

  1. Fred says:

    Is this really October? It’s been so muggy since yesterday, it feels like an overcast summer day. Last night and in the morning we set and tied some hourly records for temperature and dew points for the month of October, viz:

    https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=153&network=TN_ASOS&zstation=BNA&month=oct&var=max_tmpf&dpi=100&_fmt=png

    https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=153&network=TN_ASOS&zstation=BNA&month=oct&var=max_dwpf&dpi=100&_fmt=png

    Another record, almost certain to fall is the highest minimum temperature for this date (the 8th): it hasn’t been lower than 73 since midnight, while the record is 70, set back in 1939. Incidentally, the highest-ever minimum for October is 75, measured in 1910 (on the 4th). The average temperature for the first seven days of this month was 70.9, almost 6.5 degrees above the norm, and the unseasonable warmth should continue for, at least, another week. This, ordinarily, should guarantee that October will be another warm month, but with September’s improbable temperature turnaround very fresh in memory, I’d say it’s not a foregone conclusion, yet.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s