The National Weather Service office in Nashville has confirmed TWO tornadoes from yesterday and last night – one in the Bordeaux area, another near Mt. Pleasant in Maury county. No word yet on the Fujita-scale rating on the Maury county twister, but the Bordeaux tornado has been rated EF-1, with winds estimated at 95mph and a track length of 0.7 miles — it was on the ground for only two minutes. NWS is hoping to release the official statement for the Mt. Pleasant tornado later today, but it takes time to put those reports together. Also, it’s still possible that more damage could be found, so the number of confirmed tornadoes could still climb.
The remnants of Harvey are still producing light to moderate showers, which will continue much of the night and gradually shift eastward. The HRRR model’s radar simulation through 7:00am has a good handle on that trend:
No additional flooding problems are anticipated, but there are plenty of rivers and creeks that are still near or above flood stage, most notably the Red, Cumberland, Duck and Harpeth Rivers:
PLEASE NOTE — those images are current as of 3:40pm Friday. Updated river information can always be found on the National Weather Service’s web site.
Temperatures will gradually drop to the upper 50s by early Saturday morning:
At that point, the best chance of showers will be east of I-65, and the showers will continue creeping farther east throughout the day — we should even see some sunshine along and west of I-65 by Saturday afternoon! That sunshine will push high temperatures up to the mid to upper 70s…except in the northeastern corner of the Midstate, where the lingering clouds will keep you in the 60s:
Nice weather for the rest of Labor Day weekend — partly cloudy and warm, with highs in the low to mid 80s Sunday, and the mid to upper 80s Monday. Another chance of rain heads our way Tuesday, but it won’t be nearly as heavy and it won’t last nearly as long as what we just went through:
We’re still keeping an eye on Hurricane Irma in the Atlantic Ocean as well:
Yesterday I was concerned that Irma’s path would help to “clog up” our weather pattern in the Midstate, forcing Tuesday’s rain to linger Wednesday and Thursday. I’m not as concerned about that today, which is why I’ve left the forecast dry for Thursday and Friday. The National Hurricane Center’s forecast path carries Irma toward the island chain (The Leeward and Windward Islands) that marks the entrance to the Caribbean Sea:
Beyond that, both the European and American long-range forecast models bend the storm toward the East Coast of the United States late next week and the following weekend — they of course disagree on the details of how fast that bend occurs and if Irma will touch the mainland U.S. It’s WAAAAAAAY too soon for me to post those forecast images yet, because so much can change — but it’s something to keep in mind if you have post-Labor Day travel plans.