August 13: An Unsettled Week Ahead

Some showers are trying to make their way in from the southwest this evening — I don’t think it will wash out your evening plans, but some passing showers could wet things down a bit.  We’ll see increasing rain chances tonight, especially after midnight, and the rain will likely be a factor for the Monday morning commute.  The HRRR model’s radar simulation shows the showers spreading in, with the heaviest rain around sunrise Monday:

I can’t completely rule out a couple of strong wind gusts, but overall our severe weather potential is low.  The storms could produce some heavy rainfall though, especially south of I-40…be watchful for standing water on the roads as you’re heading out tomorrow:

Temperatures tonight will drop to the low 70s, then we’ll only warm up to the low 80s by Monday afternoon:

Lingering showers and a few storms will still be possible Monday afternoon, but they won’t be as widespread as what we’ll see in the morning.

An unsettled weather pattern will prevail through the rest of the week, with high temperatures in the upper 80s and low 90s, and a 30%-40% chance of mostly afternoon storms every day:

Looking farther ahead, Eclipse Day is looking a little better — still a chance of spotty storms, but that’s always a threat this time of year, especially so far in advance.  The European forecast model (the most-reliable long-range model) shows just a slight storm chance…and of course, plenty of warmth and humidity.  It’s still a very preliminary forecast, and of course we’ll keep you updated over the next eight days:

About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WNCN-TV in Raleigh.
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