Scattered thunderstorms developed over the Midstate this afternoon, and a few prompted severe thunderstorm warnings. The best chance of widespread storms is moving in from the southwest this evening, and we’ll see off-and-on storms throughout the night. The HRRR model’s radar simulation shows the rain coming at us in waves, with some showers still lingering for the Monday morning commute:
Here’s the good news: the severe weather threat should diminish a few hours after sunset, and it’s really not THAT high to begin with. The Storm Prediction Center has included much of the Midstate in a “Marginal Risk” (level 1 of 5) for severe thunderstorms:
That means we expect numerous storms, a FEW of which could become severe. The main severe threats will be damaging straight-line winds and large hail. Heavy rain will accompany the thunderstorms as well, so localized flooding is also something we’ll be watching for.
Monday is the first day of school for a bunch of counties across the Midstate, including Davidson, Robertson, Rutherford and Sumner counties…send the kids out the door with an umbrella — they may not need it right away, but stash it in the backpack anyway:
Scattered showers and storms will still be possible to start the day on Monday, then our rain chances will gradually shift off to the south and diminish by Monday evening. That will allow temperatures to warm up to the low 80s, with plenty of humidity lingering.
Mostly dry weather Tuesday, Wednesday, and most of Thursday is expected before another round of unsettled weather heads our way for the end of the work week and next weekend…so our rain chances will be riding the ol’ roller-coaster:
Keep in mind, this week’s weather pattern is a notoriously fickle setup — stay plugged-into the forecast for day-to-day changes, and we’ll try to keep you ahead of the storms so you can adjust any outdoor plans if needed.