The humidity will begin to creep back in on Tuesday, with high temperatures around 90° Tuesday, Wednesday, and again on Thursday. Spotty storms will be possible Wednesday and Thursday, then the best chance of storms all week will head our way on Friday. At this point, it looks like those storms will be out of the way in time for next weekend — the first weekend of August is actually looking quite pleasant!
I’ll have an update on the late-week storm chances on News 4 at 10pm this evening, so tune in then…
LOOKING BACK AT JULY
Assuming that my forecast for tomorrow is accurate (insert your own jokes here), we’ll end up with an average temperature of 81.3° for July 2017, which is 1.9° above-average. That will be tied for the 27th warmest July on record (records date back to 1874). All things considered, that’s not too bad considering how hot it was in mid to late July — the rain-cooled Fourth of July week and this weekend’s pleasant weather helped us out a little.
Out of the last 26 months, 24 recorded above-average temperatures in Nashville. In those 2-plus years, only January 2016 (slightly below-normal), May 2016 and June 2017 (both barely above-normal) were essentially “average.” August 2015 was the last unequivocally “cool” month. (Many thanks as always to loyal reader, commenter, and fellow weather-nerd Fred for crunching some of the numbers!)
Looking at the first seven months of the year as a whole, 2017 is off to the second-warmest start on record, behind 2012’s scorching pace by only 0.1°, and still more than a full degree ahead of the third-warmest year. It doesn’t sound like much when we’re talking about fractions of degrees, but it’s quite significant when you’re talking about 212 days of data over 143 years.