Hazy, hot and humid weather again today — high temperatures will reach the low 90s, and heat indices (the “feels-like” temperatures) will top out in the upper 90s:
Today brings us a slightly better chance of storms from midday through early evening…the HRRR model’s radar simulation shows the best chance to the east of I-65:
If you’re lucky enough to get some rain, you’ll get to enjoy some rain-cooled air…but unfortunately, the humidity won’t change.
The best chance of thunderstorms overall will hold off until tomorrow. Turning to Futurecast for the radar simulation, it shows more-widespread activity already by noon, with the best chance slowly dropping southward through the afternoon and evening:
Notice the storms forming a broken line as they move southward — that indicates a little more organization, and that indicates a chance that a few storms tomorrow could be strong. Damaging winds will be the main threat, and the Storm Prediction Center has accordingly outlined a “Marginal Risk” (level 1 of 5) of severe weather:
That means we expect numerous storms, a few of which could briefly become severe.
Our rain chances will diminish over the weekend, but I can’t take them out of the forecast entirely — some of the medium-range forecast models (the Canadian and American GFS models, specifically) have us completely rain-free on Sunday! But the generally-more-accurate European model keeps at least a chance of showers hanging around. So as you’re trying to make weekend plans, here’s my advice: don’t cancel anything! The best chance of rain on Saturday will be south of I-40, then we’ll see just a spotty storm chance Sunday afternoon. Be flexible with outdoor plans, especially the farther south you go Saturday:
High temperatures will top out near 90° from Friday through early next week.
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