The unseasonably warm weather will continue today and tomorrow, and we’ll add a little more humidity to the mix as well. Temperatures today will reach the mid to upper 80s under partly cloudy skies:
Dew points will climb to around 60 this afternoon — not “dreadful” on the muggy meter, but noticeable:
A chance of showers and thunderstorms will move into northwestern Middle Tennessee and southern Kentucky tomorrow evening. The RPM model’s radar simulation shows the scattered activity:
There’s an outside chance that one of those storms could become severe, so the Storm Prediction Center has outlined a “Marginal Risk” (level 1 of 5) of severe storms:
Don’t lose any sleep over that — we’ll be here keeping an eye on the storms, just in case.
The best chance of widespread showers and thunderstorms moves in late Thursday night and sticks around on Friday. Returning to the extended version of the RPM model:
I don’t put much stock in the specific timing/placement depicted there — the overall pattern is more important, and it shows a drying trend kicking in already by Friday evening.
That rain will be out of the way in time for Mother’s Day weekend, with highs in the mid 70s on Saturday, and just above 80° on Sunday:
The warm (and slightly muggy) air will be back for the first half of next week.
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