May 4: Wet Weather, Daily Links

WEATHER

A good chance of rain in the forecast throughout the day, with showers this morning giving way to thunderstorms around the middle of the day, then back to showers this evening and overnight.  The HRRR model’s radar simulation through this evening shows a few breaks, but the rain coming at us in waves:

Temperatures will hover in the 60s all day:

Our severe weather threat today isn’t ZERO, but it does look very limited.  A couple of storms along and east of I-65 this afternoon could be a bit stronger, and that’s where the Storm Prediction Center has outlined a “Marginal Risk” (level 1 of 5) of severe weather:

I wouldn’t worry about it.  Also, while the rain will be heavy at times, I don’t anticipate widespread flooding.  Just keep an eye out for deeper puddles or maybe some full ditches spilling onto a road here and there.

More showers throughout the day Friday.  Switching to the NAM model, it shows the wet pattern from tonight through Friday evening:

Almost chilly tomorrow — highs will only reach the 50s!

A little warmer over the weekend, with highs around 70°, but still a chance of scattered showers Saturday afternoon.  Switching models yet again, our RPM model shows a brief period of rain, followed by a drying trend Saturday evening:
The radar simulation that far in the future (i.e. 48+ hours) is almost always over-done — we’ll keep you updated on the timing and intensity of that rain so you can adjust your outdoor plans as-needed.

The second half of the weekend is looking dry, and the break in the rain will continue into the new work week, as temperatures warm back up to near-average:

 

LINKS

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About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WSMV-TV in Nashville.
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