WEATHER
A good chance of rain in the forecast throughout the day, with showers this morning giving way to thunderstorms around the middle of the day, then back to showers this evening and overnight. The HRRR model’s radar simulation through this evening shows a few breaks, but the rain coming at us in waves:
Temperatures will hover in the 60s all day:
Our severe weather threat today isn’t ZERO, but it does look very limited. A couple of storms along and east of I-65 this afternoon could be a bit stronger, and that’s where the Storm Prediction Center has outlined a “Marginal Risk” (level 1 of 5) of severe weather:
I wouldn’t worry about it. Also, while the rain will be heavy at times, I don’t anticipate widespread flooding. Just keep an eye out for deeper puddles or maybe some full ditches spilling onto a road here and there.
More showers throughout the day Friday. Switching to the NAM model, it shows the wet pattern from tonight through Friday evening:
Almost chilly tomorrow — highs will only reach the 50s!
A little warmer over the weekend, with highs around 70°, but still a chance of scattered showers Saturday afternoon. Switching models yet again, our RPM model shows a brief period of rain, followed by a drying trend Saturday evening:
The radar simulation that far in the future (i.e. 48+ hours) is almost always over-done — we’ll keep you updated on the timing and intensity of that rain so you can adjust your outdoor plans as-needed.
The second half of the weekend is looking dry, and the break in the rain will continue into the new work week, as temperatures warm back up to near-average:
LINKS
- Missouri, Arkansas and Illinois are getting MORE rain this morning, which is exactly what they don’t need. The pictures and video from this story posted yesterday are bad enough, and the situation will just get worse.
- The global warming “hiatus” is decidedly over (if it ever really existed) — and a new analysis in Nature magazine sums up what caused it.
- The fact of a rapidly warming atmosphere isn’t disputed by scientists anymore, but the specific consequences are…this piece takes a good look at the uncertainties.
- One of the presentations I do for civic groups is called “Climate Change: Science Without Politics.” It doesn’t have to be (and in fact shouldn’t be) a political issue, and one group of conservatives is trying to bridge the gap.
- One potential effect: as climate change melts sea ice across the Arctic Ocean, shipping routes once thought impossible may open up by 2050.
- Combining three vehicle technologies could nearly eliminate auto emissions.
- Mauna Kea and Mauna Loa formed over the same hot spot in the Pacific. Why did these volcanoes turn out so different?
- Here’s a happy thought for a rainy day: A study of 1.2 million simulated asteroid impacts reveals how a falling space rock would kill you.
- The tagline for “Alien” says, “In space, no one can hear you scream.” But there IS sound in space, thanks to gravitational waves.
- A complete list of U.S. cities ranked by healthy eating. As you might imagine, we’re not high on the list.
- The next barrier in long-distance running is the two-hour marathon. That means you have to run 13.1 mph for two hours. Some of the staff at Wired magazine tried it out.
