May 3: One More Dry Day, Daily Links

WEATHER

Nice weather for most of today, before the forecast turns wet the rest of the work week.  Partly cloudy skies will prevail through mid-afternoon, with high temperatures reaching the low 80s (several degrees above average):

We’ll see a chance for some spotty storms this evening — the HRRR model’s radar simulation shows a few showers/storms toward the end of the loop, before the heavier and more-widespread rain starts knocking on our door:

It’s possible that a couple of those storms (if they develop in the first place!) could become strong to severe, but it’s a very limited threat.  The Storm Prediction Center has included our southwestern counties in a “Marginal Risk” (level 1 of 5) of severe thudnerstorms — the greatest threat will shape up well to our southwest:

The best chance of rain will be moving in late tonight, and it will stick around through tomorrow and Friday.  The NAM model shown here isn’t perfect in terms of exact timing and placement, but it gives a good idea of the overall pattern:

Temperatures will be cooler the next several days, with highs around 70° on Thursday, and only in the upper 50s on Friday!

Back to around 70° over the weekend, with a chance for a few light showers late Saturday.  I’m not convinced there will be much moisture leftover after tomorrow and Friday, so we’ll keep the chances less than 50-50 on Saturday.

 

LINKS

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About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WSMV-TV in Nashville.
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