Today is a 4WARN WEATHER ALERT day so lets jump right in!
A lifting warm front is our main weather maker over the next 24 hours. So far, so good but things can go either way later on this evening into tonight.
Here’s a peak at our weather story headline board…
Thick clouds cover much of the area but there’s not a lot of rain with it!
In fact, just a few light showers currently tracking into Nashville from the west (2:37 PM as I write here)…
Temperatures are getting toasty here, as high as 80 degrees already and still a few degrees to go — about ten degrees ABOVE average for this time in late April.
Here’s the ‘stick’ factor — dew points in the upper 60s to lower 70s are just flirting between the line of uncomfortable and oppressive. Feels like a typical summer-like day in Middle Tennessee. High humidity is a key ingredient to fuel stronger thunderstorms and so is the warmth…so there’s two checks on the list!
Here’s what the Storm Prediction Center has for a severe threat over the course of the next 24 hours… Areas under the
ORANGE COLOR fits under an ‘Enhanced Risk’ (3 on a 1 to 5 scale)
YELLOW COLOR fit under a ‘Slight Risk’ (2 out of a 1 to 5 scale)
& GREEN COLOR fit under a ‘Marginal Risk’ (1 out of a 1 to 5 scale)
So, if a storm does pop up we have all the right ingredients for them to quickly develop into strong/severe storms.
If we lack the storms, we are in the clear! See how it can go both ways?
Here’s the timing and placement on one model run…
IN the case that we DO have storms fire up, things should diminish by late tonight.
We’ll have a dry break on Saturday before our next chance for strong to potentially severe storms arrive late on Sunday.
I’ll dive more in depth with that coming up on Channel 4 at 4 & 4:30 tonight! Chief Meteorologist Lisa Spencer will have an update coming up at 5, 6 and 10!
-Meteorologist Daphne DeLoren