April 18: More Unsettled Weather, Daily Links


Today’s weather will be very similar to yesterday’s weather: we’ll see a break from the best rain chances through early afternoon — still some spotty showers, but nothing widespread.  The morning fog and low cloud cover will slow down the warmup, but we’ll still warm up to the upper 70s this afternoon:

Those warm temperatures will fire up more scattered storms this afternoon into this evening.  The HRRR model’s radar simulation shows the scatterershot pattern, with the best chance of the heaviest rain just a little farther south compared to yesterday:

More scattered showers and storms possible tomorrow, then again Thursday night into Friday.  Temperatures will top out around 80° on Wednesday, reaching the mid 80s on Thursday, before things head in a slightly cooler direction for Friday:

Some stronger storms are still possible on Saturday — in fact, the “analog” forecast method (comparing the Saturday’s projected pattern to similar historical patterns) shows a 50+% chance of severe storms:

That said, there’s still a TON of uncertainty regarding that entire scenario.  We’ll keep you updated as the week progresses.

Saturday’s storm system will usher in cooler air for the second half of the weekend and the first part of the next work week:



About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WNCN-TV in Raleigh.
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