April 11: Rain On The Way, Daily Links

WEATHER

Showers this morning are staying mostly to the west and northwest of Nashville, and they’ll diminish by midday.  Temperatures will reach the mid to upper 70s this afternoon:

A better chance of showers and a few non-severe thunderstorms moves in from the west later today.  The best chance of rain will be this evening, with the rain diminishing after midnight…but the specific timing is still questionable.  The various forecast models have been waffling…because of those model differences, I can’t confidently give you a specific hour-by-hour “here’s where it’s going to rain” forecast.  That said, here’s the best estimate based on the data I have to work with:

The HRRR model’s radar simulation matches up pretty well with that estimate:

That’s not exactly great news for the Sounds’ home opener this evening:

If you have tickets to the game, here’s my advice: go to the game!  It’s certainly possible that the rain will hold off for the game to be played without much interference from Mother Nature.  Even when the best chance of rain heads in, there will still be some breaks in the action, and we’re NOT anticipating a severe weather threat.  If it does rain, there’s plenty of room on the concourses to take shelter.

Just an isolated lingering shower in southeastern Middle Tennessee to start the day Wednesday, then temperatures warm back up to the mid to upper 70s:

Low 80s for highs the rest of the week, with just a very slight chance of a shower each day:

Easter Sunday is still looking unsettled — at this point, I think the best chance of rain Sunday morning will be in northwestern Middle Tennessee and the western half of southern Kentucky…then the better rain chances will spread across the rest of the Midstate in the afternoon and evening.  But it’s still really early to put much stock in the specific timing that far in the future, so stay tuned for updates.

 

LINKS

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About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WSMV-TV in Nashville.
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