February 17: Weirdly Warm, Daily Links

WEATHER

Unseasonably warm weather really kicks in across the Midstate today, and it will continue through Presidents’ Day weekend and beyond.  Abundant sunshine and a noticeable breeze from the southwest will help to push temperatures up to around 70° this afternoon:
paul-daypart-graph

Increasing clouds tonight, with temperatures dropping to around 50°:
saturday-lows

Cloudy and showery on Saturday — the best chance of showers will take shape from morning through early afternoon, as the RPM model’s radar simulation shows:Still a few lingering showers possible in the afternoon, especially east of I-65.  High temperatures Saturday will only reach 60° or so:
saturday-highs

After that, we’ll be back up to around or above 70° Sunday and Monday!
wsmv-4-plus-4-am

The warm weather will continue into most of next week, despite some rain chances that will head our way:
wsmv-4-plus-4-am-2
I’m not going crazy with the rain chances at this point, because the long-range data is all over the place…the European model (generally more-accurate, but not perfect) shows a good chance of rain late Tuesday, but then mostly dry Wednesday and Thursday.  The Euro has been changing its mind a lot lately, which reduces my confidence in that scenario.  The American GFS model shows rain from Tuesday through Friday…but its accuracy is hit-and-miss.  So, we’ll wait and see.

 

LINKS

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About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WSMV-TV in Nashville.
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