February 13: A “Normal” Week Ahead, Daily Links

WEATHER

We haven’t had much in the way of “normal” weather so far this winter, but that’s exactly what’s in store for much of this week.  We’ll see partly cloudy skies overhead today, with high temperatures reaching the low to mid 50s:
monday-highs

Down to the mid 30s around midnight tonight, then we’ll warm up before sunrise as clouds move in from the west.  Mostly cloudy skies will keep us in the upper 40s for highs on Tuesday.  Spotty showers are possible along and north of I-40 during the day:
rpm-7a-tue rpm-10a-tue rpm-1p-tue
The best chance of rain arrives Tuesday night, along and south of I-40:
rpm-7p-tue rpm-10p-tue rpm-1a-wed rpm-4a-wed

The showers should be out of here already early Wednesday morning, before enough cold air can catch up to produce any wintry shenanigans.  A big warm-up starts to kick in Thursday and Friday:
wsmv-4-plus-4-am-1

The warmth continues to build this weekend — at this point, it looks like we’ll be close to 70 degrees by Sunday and Monday!
wsmv-4-plus-4-am-2
Just a slight shower chance on Saturday, then a chance of showers and storms heads our way early next week.  We’ll keep you updated on the timing and strength of that system throughout the upcoming week.

Beyond the scope of our extended forecast, it looks like the warmer-than-average pattern will stick around for a while — the Climate Prediction Center’s 8-14 day outlook shows a 70% chance of abnormally warm temperatures:
814temp-new
The 3-4 week outlook shows a better than 50-50 chance of the warmth continuing into early March as well:
wk34temp-new
Long-range outlooks can be fickle, but it just shows that the general trend of unseasonable warmth is going to be pretty stubborn.

 

LINKS

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About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WSMV-TV in Nashville.
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