February is Here…Weather?

Believe it or not, February is here!  It started on a mild note with the afternoon high in Nashville today reaching 61 degrees. well above the 48 degree average. That will not be a trend that last.  A front moved through today and the cold air is moving in. I love this temperature map with the streamlines for winds. It shows that northerly flow bringing in the cooler air.

ls-reg-temperatures

8pm temperatures

Tomorrow you will feel the change with highs only in the upper 40s with a partly sunny sky. That’s typical for this time of year. There is a small chance of showers Thursday night.  Here’s the latest futurecast.

Overnight Thursday into Friday a few showers are possible, but again mainly in southern Middle Tennessee. A winter mix can not be ruled out in that area, but it shouldn’t be a big deal.

Saturday looks like a nice winter day with sunshine and cool seasonal temperatures.  Showers are likely late Saturday night into Sunday.  They should all be gone by Sunday night. Notice those temperatures warming again Sunday.

WSMV 4DAY FORECAST.png

Now let’s get back to the burning question for the day tomorrow, “what does Phil think? Tomorrow is Groundhog Day. Punxsutawney Phil is the best know of the groundhogs. The Phils have been making their prediction since 1887.  I say  Phils because there have been many over the years.  They do seem to look alike.  When Phil sees his shadow, legend has it that there will be 6 more weeks of winter. That is usually the prediction he makes, because over the past 100 years he has only predicted an early spring 16 times. Of the 16 times that Phil has failed to see his shadow, 12 have been since 1970.  Climate Central put together his graphic for Nashville that analyzes the average temperature for the last six-week period that follows Groundhog Day for Nashville. The line is rather flat, but it’s interesting to see some of the warm spots over the years.

ls-2016groundhogday_nashville

This year I personally think we are looking for spring to arrive sooner as opposed to later.  I do think we will have some more chilly days ahead though. If Phil goes by the weather tomorrow in Punxsutawney, PA he will likely not see his shadow.

groundhog_day_no_shadow

We do have our own Chattanooga Chuck to watch in Tennessee. He lives at the Tennessee Aquarium.

I’ll have update on our weather on  Channel 4 News at 10pm.

Lisa Spencer

 

About Lisa Spencer

Lisa Spencer is the chief meteorologist at WSMV Channel 4 Nashville. You can catch her weathercasts weekdays at 4pm, 5pm, 6pm, 6:30pm and 10pm.
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1 Response to February is Here…Weather?

  1. Pingback: Winter is Not Over | 4WARN Weather Blog

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