January 27: Weekend Weather, Daily Links

WEATHER

Yes, there’s a little snow in the forecast.
beaker

We’ll get to that in a moment.
take-a-deep-breath-sherlock-calm-down

Let’s talk about today and tomorrow first…cloudy and chilly this morning, but with partial clearing in store by midday and this afternoon, highs will top out in the low 40s.
friday-highs
A noticeable breeze from the west throughout the day will make it feel cooler.

Clearing skies tonight will allow temperatures to drop below freezing:
saturday-lows
But then we’ll warm up to around 50° by Saturday afternoon:
saturday-highs

Light showers are possible on Sunday, with temperatures cool enough to allow for a rain/snow mix.  One round of showers will try to move in by early Sunday morning, but I think most of this will evaporate as it falls:
bams-3a-sun bams-6a-sun bams-9a-sun
A second batch of showers will head in later in the day Sunday:
bams-6p-sun bams-9p-sun bams-12a-mon bams-3a-mon
Of course, I’m showing you ONE version of ONE forecast model, so your mileage will vary.  Stay plugged-into the forecast for any potential changes this weekend, but this isn’t the type of system capable of producing significant snow even in the worst-cast scenario (or best-case, depending on your perspective).

The air AND ground temperatures will be above freezing, so accumulations of snow are unlikely in most of the Midstate…the exception, as always, is the higher terrain along the eastern Highland Rim and the Cumberland Plateau, where up to an inch of snow could add up through Sunday night.  Using the same forecast model to estimate the amounts:
jan-29-snow
Same disclaimer as for the radar simulation — it’s one version of one model…but the other forecast models are depicting a very similar scenario.  (The 0.3″ you see for Nashville isn’t likely downtown, but in northern Davidson county).  Dan and Daphne will be here this weekend monitoring all the latest data.

Next week will be pretty calm — a slight chance of showers on Wednesday as another wave of chilly air settles in, then a chance of showers on Friday as the warmer air tries to return:
wsmv-4-plus-4-am
Neither chance looks significant at this point, but that’s another part of the forecast we’ll be monitoring carefully.  As for whether any local critters will see their shadows on “failed rodent climatologist day,” it’s too soon to tell…and the weather will do what it wants, regardless of a large squirrel’s opinion.

 

LINKS

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About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WSMV-TV in Nashville.
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