WEATHER
Yes, there’s a little snow in the forecast.
We’ll get to that in a moment.
Let’s talk about today and tomorrow first…cloudy and chilly this morning, but with partial clearing in store by midday and this afternoon, highs will top out in the low 40s.
A noticeable breeze from the west throughout the day will make it feel cooler.
Clearing skies tonight will allow temperatures to drop below freezing:
But then we’ll warm up to around 50° by Saturday afternoon:
Light showers are possible on Sunday, with temperatures cool enough to allow for a rain/snow mix. One round of showers will try to move in by early Sunday morning, but I think most of this will evaporate as it falls:
A second batch of showers will head in later in the day Sunday:
Of course, I’m showing you ONE version of ONE forecast model, so your mileage will vary. Stay plugged-into the forecast for any potential changes this weekend, but this isn’t the type of system capable of producing significant snow even in the worst-cast scenario (or best-case, depending on your perspective).
The air AND ground temperatures will be above freezing, so accumulations of snow are unlikely in most of the Midstate…the exception, as always, is the higher terrain along the eastern Highland Rim and the Cumberland Plateau, where up to an inch of snow could add up through Sunday night. Using the same forecast model to estimate the amounts:
Same disclaimer as for the radar simulation — it’s one version of one model…but the other forecast models are depicting a very similar scenario. (The 0.3″ you see for Nashville isn’t likely downtown, but in northern Davidson county). Dan and Daphne will be here this weekend monitoring all the latest data.
Next week will be pretty calm — a slight chance of showers on Wednesday as another wave of chilly air settles in, then a chance of showers on Friday as the warmer air tries to return:
Neither chance looks significant at this point, but that’s another part of the forecast we’ll be monitoring carefully. As for whether any local critters will see their shadows on “failed rodent climatologist day,” it’s too soon to tell…and the weather will do what it wants, regardless of a large squirrel’s opinion.
LINKS
- How a deadly heat wave led to disastrous floods 2,000 miles away.
- The drought situation in California has improved significantly thanks to recent heavy rain and heavy snow. (246″ of snow at Mammoth Mountain!)
- Rain from thunderstorms (“convective” rain, as opposed to “stratiform” rain) is rising due to climate change.
- One of the most-frequent questions about climate change: how do we know it’s human activities (and specifically greenhouse gases) driving the warming trend? This site separates out the contribution of the other factors, like Earth’s orbit, the Sun’s output, and more. (And to clarify: skepticism is a necessary and healthy part of the scientific process. Denial isn’t.)
- The search is on for technologies that can pull carbon dioxide out of the air.
- Boeing’s new spacesuits look like a big upgrade from NASA’s version.
- Early results from NASA’s astronaut-twin study hint at the stress of space travel.
- Colliding molecules in Mars’ atmosphere may hold the key to an ancient climate mystery.
- A new study reports the compression of hydrogen gas to a metallic state, but skeptics are unconvinced. (This is relevant to what the Juno probe is studying around Jupiter.)
- The Universe is expanding faster than expected, but new results raise new questions.
- How the “Anthropic Principle” became the most abused idea in science.
- New evidence suggests that some parts of the body stay “alive” after death.