January 26: “Normal” Weather??? And Daily Links

WEATHER

After two and a half weeks of “June-uary” weather, it’s back to ordinary January for the next several days.  We’ve reached our high temperature of 52° at midnight, but we’ve been dropping since then — temperatures will bounce back to the low to mid 40s this afternoon.
thursday-highs
Partly cloudy skies this morning will give way to increasing clouds again by midday, with mostly cloudy skies once again this afternoon, tonight, and much of tomorrow.  Just a very slight chance of a few sprinkles or flurries along the Cumberland Plateau tonight, otherwise the weather looks dry through the first half of the weekend.

Temperatures will drop to around 30° tonight:
friday-lows
We haven’t been below freezing in Nashville since the morning of January 9 — that’s a REALLY long stretch of above-freezing weather for this time of year!

Slightly cooler Friday, with highs in the low 40s:
friday-highs

Back to around 50° on Saturday, with a nice amount of sunshine helping us recover from a chilly start.  The interesting day in the forecast is Sunday, as an upper-atmospheric disturbance sweeps through and tries to squeeze out some showers:
wsmv-4-plus-4-am
I’m not getting carried away with the percentages yet, but a rain/snow mix is certainly possible.  One of our Futurecast models shows that mix on Sunday:
bams-sun-12p bams-4p-sun bams-8p-sun bams-12a-mon
Other models keep us mostly dry…and even if the showers happen, daytime temperatures will top out in the 40s.  That means most of the snowflakes will melt either in the air, or when they hit the relatively warm ground.  Some minor accumulations are possible in the “usual” spots — the higher terrain of the eastern Highland Rim and the Cumberland Plateau.  The pink-shaded areas on this map indicate where you have the best chance of picking up at least a half-inch of snow through Sunday night:
bams-snow-pattern
If the data is still pointing in that direction 24 hours from now, I’ll take a stab at some specific amounts in tomorrow morning’s post, and on the air during Channel 4 News Today.

Once that system moves through, it’s back to calm weather for most of next week:
wsmv-4-plus-4-am-2

 

LINKS

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About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WSMV-TV in Nashville.
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