January 23

WEATHER

Still quite a bit of shower activity east of I-65 this morning, but that will gradually wind down as we head towards midday.  The HRRR model’s radar simulation shows just a few lingering sprinkles along the Cumberland Plateau by this afternoon:
hrrr_2017012312_ref_nashville
We’ve already reached our high temperatures for the day — now we’ve dropped to the upper 40s, and that’s where temperatures will remain through this afternoon:
paul-daypart-graph
Breezy conditions throughout the day, with gusts well over 20 mph:
paul-rpm-wind-gusts
The National Weather Service has posted a Wind Advisory for eastern Middle Tennessee, effective until noon:
paul-watch
The counties that aren’t in the advisory certainly won’t be calm, but the wind won’t quite reach advisory criteria (sustained winds over 25 mph, or gusts to 40 mph).

Chilly tonight, as temperatures drop into the mid 30s by early Tuesday morning:
tuesday-lows
Morning clouds will dissipate, leaving us with a nice amount of sunshine and highs in the upper 50s Tuesday afternoon:
tuesday-highs

One more warm day Wednesday, with highs in the low to mid 60s…but a cold front will be moving in, sparking a few showers in eastern Middle Tennessee during the afternoon:
rpm-2p-wed rpm-4p-wed rpm-6p-wed

That cold front will drop us into a “normal” January weather pattern from Thursday into early next week.  That means high and low temperatures will be close to average, in the 40s for highs in the 20s for lows:
wsmv-4-plus-4-am-2

If you’re not a winter enthusiast, here’s some good news…it doesn’t look like the near-normal temperatures will last too long.  The Climate Prediction Center’s (experimental) 3-4 week outlook shows a pretty good chance of above-average temperatures in early to mid-February:
wk34temp

 

LINKS

 

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About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WSMV-TV in Nashville.
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