Widespread rain will continue across the Midstate most of this evening, gradually shifting to the east after midnight. The HRRR model shows the wet pattern:
Temperatures will be nearly steady, only falling to the mid 50s by Friday morning:
A warm but unsettled weekend in store, with a decent chance of showers south of I-40 on Saturday, and rain expected areawide on Sunday. Despite the rain, temperatures will still reach the 60s for highs both Saturday and Sunday:
We’ll be in a cooler pattern Monday through Wednesday, but temperatures will still be above-average. After that? Check out the tail end of the “4-plus-4cast”:
The long-range models have been hinting at this for a while — a pattern flip-flop that would bring typical wintertime temperatures back into the Midstate. I even added a chance for a few mixed rain/snow showers next Friday, but that’s a looooooooong way off at this point. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is on the same page, at least in terms of temperatures — their 8-14 day outlook indicates a significant chance of below-average temperatures extending into early February:
Most of today’s links have to do with yesterday’s confirmation that 2016 was globally the warmest on record.
- 2016 was the third consecutive year that a new global temperature record was set.
- 12 different maps and charts visually demonstrate the evidence of a warming world.
- 3 reasons why scientists can confidently say that 2016 was in fact the warmest on record.
- This chat from the statistical-news site FiveThirtyEight provides some additional perspective on the methods and measurements involved.
- The last time the atmosphere was this warm was 125,000 years ago.
- It’s not in your head: the weather is weirder, and climate change is the reason why.
- Despite what you might see on cable news, climate science isn’t political. Lying about it, though, is definitely political.
- This is a great graphic — a chart of Nashville’s day-by-day temperatures in 2016, including annotations of the multiple record high temperatures. (You can enter different cities at the top of that page to look at other locations worldwide.)
- What experts think of speculation that El Niño will return in 2017. (El Niño was a factor in the global temperature records the past two years, but both 2015 and 2016 would have been records even without it.)
- Some non-weather stuff…how many years does the space station have left?
- There’s a Japanese probe in orbit around Venus, but why does NASA seem to be neglecting the planet?
- Over half of the world’s apes and monkeys are in danger of extinction.
- Before Donald Trump is sworn in, he will have undergone the haunting rite of passage of getting a nuclear weapons briefing.
- The story of humanity’s love affair with alcohol goes back to a time before farming.
- President George H.W. Bush was admitted to the hospital earlier this week, battling pneumonia. Why does that disease strike the elderly to such a great extent?