November 17: Record Heat, Daily Links

WEATHER

Yet again, we’re in for near-record high temperatures today and tomorrow — after that, the weather turns chilly this weekend, so buckle up for a ride on the weather roller-coaster.  The heart of this unusually warm weather pattern will be anchored just to our west today, and pretty much directly overhead tomorrow:
big-picture

Lots of sunshine today, with high temperatures near 80°:
thursday-highs

Temperatures Friday will also top out near 80° — probably just a degree or so warmer than today, thanks to strong winds from the southwest…our third straight day of near-record high temperatures:
paul-heat-wave
Estimated wind speeds Friday afternoon aren’t sufficient for a wind advisory, but it will be a breezy day overall:
paul-rpm-wind-gusts

A good chance of showers and non-severe thunderstorms moves in Friday evening and overnight — I think the RPM model has a good handle on the overall pattern, showing the showers and storms diminishing in intensity as they move in from the west after sunset:
rpm-6p-fri rpm-8p-fri rpm-10p-fri rpm-12a-sat rpm-2a-sat 4pm-4a-sat rpm-6a-sat
Rainfall amounts won’t be substantial enough to bring an end to the drought conditions, but beggars can’t be choosers:
paul-rpm-12km-precip-accum
The latest update from the U.S. Drought Monitor, released this morning, shows the entire Midstate in “severe drought,” with “extreme” drought in some of our southern and eastern counties:
paul-drought-monitor

The weather will be substantially cooler this weekend, with highs only in the low to mid 50s, and lows dropping to near freezing by Sunday morning.
wsmv-7-day-am
Another chance of rain heads our way Tuesday night and Wednesday — once again, not a drought-buster, but we’ll take what we can get!  At this point, it looks like the rain will be out of here in time for Thanksgiving.

Looking for some winter weather?  Head to the Upper Midwest — parts of northern Minnesota could pick up a foot of snow tomorrow and tomorrow night:
midwest-snow

 

LINKS

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About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WSMV-TV in Nashville.
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