The month of October has been unseasonably warm to this point, and we have more of the same in store as we head through the last few days of the month. So far, October temperatures are running more than 6 degrees above-average! We haven’t been below 40 degrees in Nashville this month either, and it doesn’t look like we’ll drop into the 30s anytime soon. Our average first freeze in Nashville is in late October, but obviously that’s not going to happen anytime soon either…in fact, the European forecast model’s extremely-long-range forecast indicates we won’t threaten 32° until the latter half of November — the record for Nashville’s latest first freeze is November 27.
Increasing clouds this evening and tonight, with a slight chance of showers mostly along the TN/KY state line after midnight:
The cloud cover will keep temperatures very mild overnight — we’ll start off Thursday morning around 60°:
After that, it’s back to around 80° Friday, then low to mid 80s through the weekend and into early next week…and still no rain:
Temperatures Saturday through Tuesday will be close to record territory:
Assuming the temperatures in the 7-day forecast are close to accurate (admittedly a big assumption, especially in the 5-6-7 day range), October 2016 will go into the record book as one of the five warmest on record in Nashville…maybe even in the top three.
A jumbo-sized batch of nerd-links today, including lots of weather stuff…
- It’s been 11 years since a Category Three hurricane made landfall in the United States…but the “major hurricane drought” might be the most misleading statistic in meteorology.
- New research indicates that drought conditions like those gripping the southeastern U.S. might be easier to predict.
- Regardless of who wins the presidential election, on what should the United States’ weather research focus under the next administration?
- One of the consequences of climate change is warming in the Arctic…but that could push colder air into North America.
- Warming temperatures could cause glacial floods, especially in South America.
- Melting glaciers are relatively easy to predict, but while global and even regional consequences of climate change continue to come into better focus, it’s still impossible to blame any one weather event on the warming climate.
- Scientists are studying storms in the Amazon to determine how pollutants could help to enhance cloud formation.
- Vibrations in the Antarctic ice shelf cause ripples in the atmosphere above.
- Scientists from the European Space Agency want to shoot a giant bullet at Jupiter’s moon Europa.
- Astronomers are counting down to the New Horizons spacecraft’s next encounter with a Kuiper Belt object.
- How NASA fights to keep its deep-space probes “alive” beyond their expected lifespans.
- Every time a roughly Earth-sized planet is discovered outside our solar system, the phrase “Earth-like” gets thrown around…here’s why that’s a mistake.
- A new powerful camera/telescope combination will allow astronomers to observe how the Universe’s first stars formed.
- How science could save bananas from extinction.
- Car companies are making more hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, but the refueling infrastructure isn’t keeping pace.
- Football isn’t the only sport associated with the threat of brain injury — just heading a soccer ball causes immediate changes to the brain.
- 10 small things you do that other people use to judge your personality…whether they know it or not.
- If you wanted to rig an election…you probably couldn’t.