One more hot and humid day ahead of us, but we do at least have a chance of thunderstorms today to cool things off. The best chance of storms will take shape this afternoon, but before then high temperatures will reach the low 90s once again:
Rain chances this afternoon will run in the 30-40% range from midday through the afternoon:
The HRRR model’s radar simulation shows the disorganized pattern:As always, put more stock in the pattern rather than the placement — in a hot and muggy environment, the storms will pop up where they want, when they want.
More scattered storms are expected over the weekend. The best chance during the day Saturday will be west of I-65, as shown here by the RPM model’s radar simulation (that’s the other short-range model in which I have a little more faith):
Forecast temperatures Saturday afternoon reflect the half-and-half pattern — cooler where it’s raining, very warm (and still muggy) where it isn’t raining:
The best chance of showers and thunderstorms areawide will move across the Midstate Saturday night, lingering into the early hours of Sunday morning:
The better rain chances will move eastward throughout the day Sunday, leaving us with drier conditions by late Sunday afternoon and evening:
The system causing our weekend rain chances isn’t going to bring a big rush of fall-like air — in fact, next week is still looking pretty hot, with temperatures running 5-10 degrees above average:
But the humidity should be quite a bit lower, and that makes a big difference!
Last batch of nerd-news for this week…I’ll be off on Monday, but the links will be back on Tuesday.
- New world records for longest distance and duration lightning flashes were just reported. (I really wish some of the new lightning detection technology had been around when I was doing lightning research in grad school.)
- 2016 Arctic sea ice annual minimum tied the second-lowest on record.
- October-November-December temperatures are forecast to be warmer than average for almost the entire country, but not around here! Equal chances for the Midstate of cooler than normal, warmer than normal, or just plain normal temperatures.
- Typhoon Meranti (that hit Taiwan and China earlier this week) reached a level of strength most storms don’t even approach — and the mechanism of that rapid intensification is still being studied.
- The effort continues to identify all of the different asteroids that could potentially cause damage to Earth.
- Astronomers just got a look at one of the sharpest, most detailed views of a comet breaking apart — 67 million miles away.
- NASA’s Cassini probe is now in the final year of its mission to Saturn.
- How certain are physicists of the Universe’s “big freeze” fate?
- A helmet inspired by woodpeckers could help save football players from concussions.
- Experts say you probably need a lot more sleep than you think.