The big weather story is Tropical Storm (soon to be Hurricane?) Hermine in the Gulf of Mexico, but we’ll start with the big local weather story: lower humidity! The mugginess is still substantial this morning, with dew points in the low 70s:
But those dew point numbers will improve hour-by-hour as we head through today and tonight, and check out where the dew point will end up by Friday morning:
As the drier air moves in, it will squeeze the atmosphere overhead, which will allow for some spotty showers…maybe even a thundershower. The HRRR model shows the hit-and-miss nature of our 30% chance:
In between the showers, temperatures will warm up to the mid 80s:
Lots of stuff happening this evening, and the weather is looking pretty cooperative. The humidity will be lower, and the rain chances should be well off to our south…good news for the Sounds game:
And for Vanderbilt’s season opener:
And for Live On The Green!
The lower-humidity air will stick around Friday and Saturday — both days are looking pleasantly warm, with a mix of clouds and sun. Sunday will be hotter, but the humidity shouldn’t be too bad yet…but the mugginess will climb Monday and be back in full force by Tuesday and Wednesday.
Summer isn’t done with us yet.
Now to Hermine, the storm that is still a Tropical Storm as I type this, but could be upgraded to Hurricane Hermine at any point today. The storm lacks a well-defined center on the satellite view, but it’s producing a lot of rain out over the Gulf, and has some pretty strong sustained winds:
As Hermine moves to the north/northeast, it’s expected to reach Category One hurricane status before it makes landfall to the east of Appalachicola tonight:
Regardless of the specific strength of the storm at landfall, these impacts are likely:
The expected path of Hermine takes it up the east coast and out over the Atlantic again by early next week:
That means rip currents (and closed beaches) are likely along the East Coast through early next week. The storm will become “extra-tropical” by Sunday — that means it will lose its defining tropical characteristics, but the wind/surf/rain threat will continue. And the five-day forecast cone from the National Hurricane Center is more of a circle at this point:
That’s because the forecast models are all over the place when it comes to where this system will go…some take it out to sea, other bend it back toward the Atlantic coast:
Hermine’s direct impact on our weather will be minimal, but we’ll keep you updated with the storm’s progress over the next several days as it continues to affect the eastern U.S.