Keep The Umbrella Handy

This morning has been nice and peaceful for most of Tennessee but not so much for areas north of the I-40 corridor and east of the I-24 corridor. Heavy downpours and quite a lightning show made way for a messy commute. Those have officially fizzled out and my attention now turns to the activity over southern Kentucky (10:07 AM as I write here), currently on a southerly path into Middle Tennessee.

VIDEO RADAR

See the bright green box? That’s a Flash Flood Warning in effect for Todd County and it expires at 10:30 AM. Thunderstorms produced heavy rain over a very short period of time, leading to flooded roads. Yikes.DT WATCH2

A Flood Advisory remains in effect for Southwestern Warren County, Northern Simpson County and East Central Logan County until 12:30 PM. One to two inches of rain is expected to fall within the area in one hour or less so please be extra careful if your driving plans take you that way.

Though most of Middle Tennessee has dodged the shower and storm activity, the weather pattern still remains unsettled.

DT SATRAD3D Zooms

An upper level system combines with an approaching frontal boundary just to our northwest to keep conditions very muggy today. Scattered showers and storms will be the trend through the evening hour but not everyone will catch one.  Let’s check in with Futurecast for location and timing…

am RPM 4KM.png

am RPM 4KM

am RPM 4KM.png

The bulk of the moisture will be over the same areas that got hit earlier this morning — east of the I-24 corridor.

The same front that brings rain and storm chances today, makes itself comfortable and stationary, bringing hit or miss showers and storms each day through Monday. Here’s the latest model run on potential rainfall totals.

PAUL ECMWF RAIN

All of Middle Tennessee fits under the .5 to 1.5 range but I’m expecting these numbers to be more localized, not widespread.

Let’s turn attention to temperatures! Highs will run seasonably warm, in the upper 80-degree range and clouds are definitely a helping hand with that. A peak of sunshine can easily heat things up into the lower 90s so just keep that in mind.

DD SKY1 TODAY

Though temperatures are bearable, humidity…not so much. Plenty of moisture in the atmosphere leads to oppressive dew point values. The kind that has your clothes sticking to your skin within the matter of minutes! Welcome to summer in Tennessee (my first). 🙂

LISA MUGGY METER

Here’s a little sneak peak to the seven days ahead and what I’ll be breaking down on channel 4 at noon.

WSMV 7 Day AM

If you miss it, no worries. Meteorologist Paul Heggen will time out the best storm chances going into the weekend at 4, 5, 6 and 10 tonight.

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