July 28: More Rain Ahead

WEATHER

Today is the rainiest day in the 7-day forecast, but that doesn’t mean the unsettled weather pattern will be ending any time soon…in fact, we’ll keep the (roughly) 50-50 storm chances in the forecast through Tuesday.  Today’s higher rain chance is due to an upper-level disturbance passing west-to-east over the Midstate.  Think of it as a “big ripple” in the atmospheric flow — the next several days will bring us “little ripples” instead.  Today’s most-widespread rain will gradually taper off by early afternoon:
RPM 10A THU RPM 12P THU RPM 2P THU
Scattered showers and storms will still be possible later this afternoon and this evening:
RPM 4P THU RPM 6P THU RPM 8P THU
There will be more breaks in between the late-day showers and storms — any crack in the clouds will allow the sun to peek through, and a little July sunshine goes a long way.  Temperatures will be stuck in the 70s while it’s raining, but we’ll hit the mid 80s for official highs late in the day.
THURSDAY HIGHS
Those temperatures are below-average for late July, and they’re certainly lower than the readings we’ve seen for the past couple of weeks…but it’s NOT going to feel comfortable!  Dew points will be in the 70s throughout the day, which is tropical:
MuggyMeter
We’ve had a couple of flood advisories/warnings posted already early this morning, and flooding will be our main hazardous weather concern throughout the day.  The National Weather Service has posted a Flash Flood Watch for most of the Midstate, in effect until just after midnight:
PAUL WATCH
While I don’t expect widespread flooding, localized high-water issues are obviously possible.  Just exercise common sense as you’re driving around in the rain, and stay weather-aware if you live in a flood-prone location.

Tomorrow through Tuesday will be “copy and paste” days when it comes to the general forecast: highs around 90, in between intermittent showers and storms, with plenty of humidity to fuel the storms and make things feel sticky.  The best chance of storms each day will develop around noon and persist through early evening.
WSMV 7 Day AM
It won’t rain everywhere all the time!  There will be plenty of dry breaks, so I wouldn’t cancel any outdoor plans this weekend unless they’re very rain-sensitive.  Just be ready to adjust when Mother Nature throws a storm your way.  Pretty much the normal summertime routine around here!

 

LINKS

Had a couple of meetings this morning that ate up my “search the internet for cool science stuff” time.  Yes, regular office meetings.  Getting up at 2am ain’t the only glamorous part of this job…
awyeah

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About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WSMV-TV in Nashville.
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