After a refreshing day of below average temperatures and low humidity values, the weather pattern made a little flip flop today. Dew points in the middle 50s (comfy range) climbed into the middle 60s to lower 70s (oppressive) across Middle Tennessee. This muggy air mass made highs in the lower 90s feel as hot as the triple digits for our southwestern counties.
A few early morning showers dissipated quickly and only a few more sparked up for round number two this evening. If outdoor plans are on the radar for your Friday night, it will feel soupy and you may need a little extra hairspray but in terms of the umbrella, you can leave that at home. Partly cloudy skies and seasonably warm temperatures will work their way down into the lower 70s across the region.
Saturday is looking decent. Not completely dry but decent. With another round of heat and high humidity, afternoon storms should be spotty, so not everyone will see them.
A better chance for shower and storm activity arrives by Sunday with an approaching front from the northwest. The initial batch of showers and storms is expected to spark up around the afternoon hour so morning joggers, you are in the clear.
The Storm Prediction Center has the northwestern portion of Tennessee under a Slight Risk (2 out of 5) risk for any storm to reach severe criteria while the majority of the region sits under a Marginal Risk (1 out of 5) for severe weather. With latest model runs, the best time frame for these storms will be at night into the overnight hours.
Monday is the Fourth of July and many folks have the BBQ plans. Showers and storms will be likely during the day but there will be plenty of dry patches so don’t cancel the plans yet, just keep an eye to the sky. As always, the 4WARN weather team will keep you posted with updates so be sure to check in with us!