June 16: Still Hot and Humid, Daily Links

WEATHER

The calm after last night’s storms allowed temperatures to drop into the 60s this morning, but it’s going to be another hazy, hot and humid day — temperatures will rapidly warm up, reaching the mid to upper 90s this afternoon:
THURSDAY HIGHS
The humidity isn’t quite as bad as it was yesterday, but it will still be substantial enough to push the heat index into triple-digit territory:
PAUL RPM 4KM HEAT INDEX

Relief from the worst of the heat and humidity is on the way, in the form of a weak cold front that will drop through the Midstate tonight.  Ahead of that front, some scattered storms will develop again this evening.  It’s less than a 50-50 chance of rain in any one particular location, but Futurecast shows the scattered storms this evening:
RPM 4P THU RPM 6P THU RPM 8P THU RPM 10P THU
A different forecast model (the HRRR) shows a similar scenario:
hrrr_2016061611_ref_nashville
This is one of those scenarios where the storm pattern depicted by the model data is more important than the specific storm timing/placement.  I’d go ahead with any outdoor plans, but be ready to adjust if you have to.

The evening storms are NOT as likely to produce severe weather, compared to the strong storms we saw yesterday afternoon and evening.  Still, the Storm Prediction Center has included the Midstate in a “Marginal Risk” (level 1 of 5) of severe weather:
PAUL SEVERE RISK REGION
I wouldn’t worry about it — we’ll be here keeping an eye on things, just in case a storm or two gets frisky.

Behind the weak cold front, northerly winds will have an effect on our weather on Friday.  It will still be hot, but temperatures will be a lot closer to normal:
FRIDAY HIGHS
More importantly, the humidity will drop!  Dew points go from “ugh” at midnight tonight…
DEW POINT 1
…to “hey, it’s not as bad” by noon Friday…
DEW POINT 2
…to “this is almost nice” by midnight Friday night:
DEW POINT 3

The drier air will stick around through the weekend.  Both Saturday and Sunday will be hot, with highs around 90, but the lower humidity levels make a big difference:
WSMV 7 Day AM
The next decent chance of rain heads our way late Tuesday into early Wednesday.

 

LINKS

Some good space stuff in the “Friday eve” links, amongst other nerdery…

Advertisements

About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WNCN-TV in Raleigh.
This entry was posted in Uncategorized and tagged , . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s