June 10: HOT weekend, Daily Links

WEATHER

The weekend is almost here, and so is the heat.  Highs today will reach the low to mid 90s:
FRIDAY HIGHS
The good news today is that the humidity won’t be bad…yet.  Dew points this afternoon will still be in the 50s, which is where we want to be on the Muggy Meter:
FRIDAY DEW POINT MuggyMeter
Futurecast does show higher dew points closer to the Tennessee River, but I think it’s a little too aggressive in bringing the mugginess in that early.

If you’re heading downtown for CMA Fest (or doing anything else outdoors), here’s what temperatures look like hour-by-hour:
PAUL CMA 1 PAUL CMA 2

The heat continues to build on Saturday:
SATURDAY HIGHS
And the humidity will be increasing as well, with dew points in significantly less-comfortable territory by Saturday afternoon:
SATURDAY DEW POINT
Factor the heat and humidity together, and you get heat indices approaching 100 degrees:
SATURDAY HEAT INDEX

Sunday will be flat-out hot and muggy, with a very slight storm chance Sunday afternoon, mostly in southern Middle Tennessee.  It all adds up to a steamy Festival Forecast for Bonnaroo and CMA Fest:
PAUL CMA 4 DAY

The heat continues into Monday, when we’ll make our strongest run at setting (or tying) the daily record high temperature:
PAUL HEAT WAVE
That’s an OLD record for Monday — the oldest person on Earth is an Italian woman who’s 116 years old, and even she wasn’t alive when Monday’s record high temperature was set.

Better storm chances return to the forecast next week, with the heat and humidity still entrenched over the Midstate:
WSMV 7 Day AM
Eventually one of the 40% days will yield a higher storm chance, but the forecast data is still at odds regarding which day.  I’d bet on Wednesday being a wetter and slightly cooler (mid to upper 80s) day, but that’s that’s more hunch than science, so I’m not adjusting the 7-day forecast in that direction just yet.

 

LINKS

Last batch of nerdiness for the week…

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About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WSMV-TV in Nashville.
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