May 27: Memorial Day Weekend, Daily Links

WEATHER

Yesterday’s thunderstorms dropped some heavy rain on areas west and north of Nashville — the yellow-shaded spots in this image indicate radar-estimated rainfall of 2″-4″:
THURSDAY RAIN TOTALS

Today’s rain chances won’t be as widespread or as organized.  Both the RPM and HRRR models show hit-and-miss showers, mostly during the afternoon and early evening, and mostly east of I-65:
RPM 10A FRI RPM 12P FRI RPM 2P FRI RPM 4P FRI RPM 6P FRI

A mix of clouds and sunshine will prevail most of the day, and temperatures will warm up:
FRIDAY HIGHS
Dew points will remain in the low to mid 60s:
PAUL RPM 4KM DEW POINT
On the Muggy Meter, those dew points rank between “Meh” and “Yuck.”MuggyMeterFactor the heat and humidity together, and it will feel more like the low 90s this afternoon.

If you’re heading out of town today for the holiday weekend, the national trouble spots will once again be in the middle of the country, where severe thunderstorms will be possible in Tornado Alley:
FRIDAY STORM THREAT

The Memorial Day weekend forecast brings us more of the same — warm (even hot) and muggy, with at least a chance of storms every day.  Right now it looks like the best chance of storms will be Saturday:
PAUL POOL FORCAST
Even then, I’m not confident enough in the rain chances to even call it a 50-50 shot of getting wet.  I’m also not confident enough in the lower chances Sunday and Monday to completely remove rain from the forecast.  Go ahead with your outdoor activities, just have an indoor alternative in mind and be ready to adjust if needed.

An indoor alternative will also be a good idea if you’re heading to the East Coast — a developing tropical system in the Atlantic Ocean is likely (90% chance according to the National Hurricane Center) to become a tropical depression or a tropical storm:
two_atl_2d0
As a refresher, tropical depressions are weaker than tropical storms…depressions get a number, storms get a name.  This one’s name would be Bonnie if its sustained winds reach 39 mph.  Regardless of its strength, it’s likely to spread wet weather from Norfolk all the way down to Daytona Beach, as the center of the system moves northwest:
PAUL TROPICAL SPAGHETTI

Around here, the late-May heat wave will continue into the first day of June, until a better chance of storms develops Wednesday night and Thursday along a cold front that will break the back of the heat wave:
WSMV 7 Day AM

 

LINKS

Last batch of nerd-links as we head into the holiday…your daily dose of geekiness will return on Tuesday.

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About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WSMV-TV in Nashville.
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