May 20: Rain Today, Showers Tomorrow, Beautiful Sunday, Daily Links

WEATHER

A bit crunched for time this morning, so we’ll keep the weather discussion short-but-sweet.  Rain is likely through much of today.  This loop of the HRRR model had a good handle on the pre-sunrise rain, so I’m relatively confident in how it depicts the rain’s progress throughout the day:
hrrr_2016052011_ref_nashville
That particular model shows the heaviest rain moving east of I-65 by mid-afternoon, and off the Cumberland Plateau just after sunset.  Total rainfall amounts look to be most substantial west of I-65 (that’s quite a change from yesterday’s forecast data):
hrrr_t_precip_nashville_16
A few stronger storms are possible this afternoon, but the Storm Prediction Center hasn’t outlooked us for anything other than “general thunderstorms.”  (That’s their way of saying, “don’t worry about it.”)

The rain will take a break tonight, but more spotty showers are possible Saturday, especially east of I-65.  As I said yesterday, don’t cancel any outdoor plans, unless the tiniest bit of rain would ruin those plans.  We’re talking about very light, very brief, splash-and-dash kind of showers:
RPM 2P SAT RPM 4P SAT RPM 6P SAT

We’ll dry out Saturday night, and Sunday looks nothing short of perfect.  Yeah, I said it: PERFECT.  You got complaints about Sunday’s weather, take ’em elsewhere:
WSMV 7 Day AM
The warming trend will continue next week, but the humidity won’t be noticeable until Wednesday, when it will be substantial enough to fuel some scattered storms which will continue into Thursday.

 

LINKS

Last batch of nerd-links for the work week…

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About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WNCN-TV in Raleigh.
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