Some hefty thunderstorms rolled through the Midstate last night, including one that produced an unconfirmed tornado in northern Christian county. The National Weather Service office in Paducah will be sending out a survey team today to evaluate the damage and determine if a tornado touched down.
The storms moved off to the east overnight, and we’ll settle into a calm weather pattern for the next couple of days. Skies will gradually clear from west to east by midday, and the afternoon sunshine will push temperatures up to the low 60s:
The next chance of rain heads our way late Wednesday, and continues Wednesday night and Thursday. This is going to be another big storm system, with severe weather impacts through the middle of the country, and snowfall in the Upper Midwest. We’ll see showers and thunderstorms approaching the Mississippi River by early afternoon on Wednesday, crossing the Tennessee River by Wednesday evening, and moving across the Midstate Wednesday night:
However, that doesn’t mean we’re necessarily in the clear — the SPC’s short-range ensemble forecast model is pointing toward a good chance of “organized” thunderstorms (more likely to become severe) on Thursday morning:
The Supercell Composite Parameter estimates how organized those storms will be — it shows the highest values down to our south, but they’re still high enough around here to keep my attention:
Finally, the SREF’s forecast for the Significant Tornado Parameter (that one should require no explanation) shows a similar pattern — highest to our south, but non-zero around here:
I’m not too worried about it at this point — the rain that will fall Wednesday night should help stabilize the atmosphere, and the early-morning time frame isn’t generally favorable for severe thunderstorm development. We’ll keep an eye on it, and we’ll keep you updated as the week progresses. The greater concern at this point is the amount of rain that will add up from late Wednesday through Thursday night:
That’s enough to potentially cause some localized flooding — we’ll keep you posted on that as well, as the entire storm system evolves over the next couple of days.
Once the rain ends, we’ll clear out in time for the weekend — a significant shot of cold air will drop down out of Canada, but right now I’m thinking it will mostly miss us to the north. That leaves us with cool-ish but pleasant temperatures Saturday, and a really nice day on Sunday!
Some nerdy brain candy to start off the new work week…
- Tornado projects get most of the press, but predicting severe hail storms is an important avenue of research as well.
- Your overall level of fitness might be dictated by how well you deal with daily temperature changes.
- Some mistakes to avoid if you suffer from seasonal allergies.
- Scientists working on NASA’s Cassini mission have identified the highest point on Saturn’s moon Titan.
- This is how artificial intelligence “sees” your schedule.
- How 21st century technology is transforming archaeology.
- The article is from last summer, but it’s still fascinating: what we’ve learned about dinosaurs since the original Jurassic Park movie was released.
- The winners of the Smithsonian’s photo contest have been announced — the first image in this sequence is spectacular.
- Why are people still willing to spend over $100 on desktop computer software, but unwilling to spend even $10 on a mobile app?
- How much money would it take to be Batman? (A LOT.)