July 28: Hot. Humid. Still.

WEATHER

Another day of oppressive heat and humidity.
slam-dunk

Forecast temperatures this afternoon:
PAUL RPM 4KM Temperature

And forecast heat indices:
PAUL RPM 4KM HEAT INDEX

You know the drill: find some A/C, drink plenty of water, make sure outdoor animals have a shady spot and plenty of cool water.
dog-on-ice

Scattered storms will develop in the heat and humidity, but your odds of getting one of those storms to pay you a visit are less than 50/50.  Futurecast’s radar simulation for this afternoon and evening shows the hit-and-miss pattern:
RPM 12P TUE RPM 2P TUE RPM 4P TUE RPM 6P TUE RPM 8P TUE
Not much organization to those storms, so don’t take Futurecast’s specific placement of the scattered storms too literally.  That lack of organization also means that our severe weather potential will remain low.

More of the same tomorrow: hot and humid, with scattered storms mostly in the afternoon.  The difference tomorrow is that the storms could be slightly better-organized, so the Storm Prediction Center has included us in a “Marginal Risk” (level 1 of 5) for severe thunderstorms.
PAUL SEVERE RISK REGION

The storm chances will most move off to our south on Thursday, dragging the worst of the humidity along with them.  It will still be hot this weekend, but the humidity looks like it will be tolerable Friday and Saturday.
7 Day PM

 

LINKS

Lots of weather-related material today, and of course a few space-links as well…

  • The strengthening El Nino event in the Pacific Ocean is good news for some, very bad news for others around the world.
  • The Atlantic hurricane season has been very quiet so far (typical for an El Nino year), but things are brewing in the Pacific again.
  • Some research released a few weeks ago made a big media splash, because it speculated on a decrease in solar activity leading to a “mini ice age” in the next couple of decades.  (CNN and Climate Central even reported on it.)  Problem is…probably not.  In fact, it’s very unlikely.
  • One of the biggest challenges in evaluating climate change risks, and separating long-term trends from day-to-day variability, is sorting through the huge amount of date available.
  • In case you missed it last week, NASA revealed the discovery of an Earth-ish planet 1400 light-years away.
  • I used the phrase “Earth-ish” because it’s far from an exact match.  So if you could transport yourself to that planet, what would you experience?
  • NASA missions like the New Horizons probe to Pluto, or the Dawn spacecraft orbiting Ceres, face a fierce fight for support and funding.  There are a lot of proposed missions still in the planning stages — but which ones will actually happen?
  • This is a great story: how inmates in Georgia are helping train drug- and explosive-sniffing dogs.

About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WNCN-TV in Raleigh.
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