The bottom line at this point is that Wednesday and Wednesday night are looking very messy across Middle Tennessee and southern Kentucky…but there are still a lot of different ways for that messiness to unfold…and even a couple of ways for it to NOT be messy at all! I outline some of those ways in the video, but keep in mind — we’re still about 48 hours away from the first changeover from rain to ice, so there WILL be forecast revisions. We’ll keep you posted!
5pm UPDATE: Well, the computer model data is still all over the place. One model gives us almost an inch of sleet and then several inches of snow, one model keeps most of the wintry stuff away from us almost completely. Right now, I’d bet that the forecast trends in the “not-as-scary” direction, but the National Weather Service has already issued a Winter Storm Watch.
Please note: while I’m passing along the information contained in their advisories, at this point I’m thinking we will get less than what the NWS is outlining. By the time I’m on the air at 4am tomorrow, a couple of new batches of model data will be processed, and hopefully we’ll be building toward some kind of consensus. For right now, I’d still view Wednesday as potentially a very messy day, especially in the evening and overnight. But I’m more optimistic than I was this morning regarding our chances of seeing a lower-impact winter storm. Like I said above the video, there WILL be forecast revisions…it’s inevitable with a complex setup like this.
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