Iceapalooza 2015

I say this in the video, but I’ll re-emphasize it in print: our best chances to avoid significant icing in the Midstate will be either A) less precipitation than the models are showing (the most likely possibility), or B) warmer air than the models are showing (less likely, but not impossible).  As always, prepare for the worst and hope for the best.

4:20pm UPDATE: New graphics from the National Weather Service below — the NWS-Nashville, NWS-Huntsville and NWS-Memphis offices have issued a Winter Storm Warning for all of our Tennessee counties, while the NWS-Paducah office has opted for a Winter Weather Advisory for the western half of southern Kentucky.  NWS-Louisville still has the eastern half of southern Kentucky in a Winter Storm Watch.  Confused?  Yup.  That’s part of the joy of having five different NWS branches issuing advisories for our viewing area.
Feb20_NWS-overview

But here’s the main point.  NWS-Nashville is concerned about the same issues I outlined in the video posted above:
Feb20_NWS-impact

And, they’re even more pessimistic regarding the timing of the changeover from icy precipitation to just rain:
Feb20_NWS-timing

As always, stay tuned for updates.  Lisa and Dan have you covered on-air this evening, and I’ll be on your TV beginning at 4am tomorrow with a new batch of data to (hopefully) clarify things further.  For now, I stand by everything I said in the video: there are still some factors that could alleviate our ice potential, but for now things aren’t looking great.  Plan accordingly.

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Social media links

Twitter: @WSMVweather, @PaulHeggenWSMV, @WSMVLisaSpencer, @WSMVDanThomas, @WSMVNancyVanC, @NWSNashville

Facebook: 4WARN Weather, Paul Heggen WSMV, Lisa Spencer, Dan Thomas WSMV, Nancy Van Camp WSMV, NWS Nashville

About paulheggen33

Morning meteorologist for WNCN-TV in Raleigh.
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5 Responses to Iceapalooza 2015

  1. Rodney says:

    Thanks for the updates! We live in the Birmingham area and was planning on coming to Nashville around noon on Saturday. Do you think the road will be ok or should we just forget about coming to Nashville. Thanks again

    • paulheggen33 says:

      By midday Saturday the roads should just be wet…localized flooding will be a potential problem at that point, as will melting snow and ice, so I can’t promise it will be pleasant, but it shouldn’t be flat-out treacherous.

  2. brennancward says:

    Were there 32 other Paul Heggens already registered to WordPress?

    • paulheggen33 says:

      For some reason, WordPress demands that usernames have numerals. I wore 33 waaaaay back when I played things.

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