Weekend showers and warmer temps

The weekend is almost here and I’m certain lots of folks are itching to hit the lake or the pools!

Here’s a breakdown of the forecast.
Much of Saturday will be dry across Middle TN.
However, just like Friday, once we get into the afternoon there will be a few isoalted areas of showers.
It won’t be an all out washout but do expect downpours.
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Remember, if you’re outdoors and you hear thunder – pack it up and head inside.
Sunday will be a little rainier than Saturday but it looks like most of the activity will favor our southern areas.
Temperatures for the weekend will be near normal, believe it or not.
Here’s the highs for Saturday and Sunday.
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Weekend update & events

Hang in there folks, the weekend is almost upon us in Middle TN!

Here’s the nuts and bolts for the upcoming weekend….
Saturday looks sunny with a few clouds and not a lot of rain, at least during the daylight hours.
It does look like a strong wave of storms will move through during the evening hours. So, plan accordingly if you’ll be out during the night time.
Sunday looks like the rainiest day of the weekend. It might actually be a good day to lounge around inside and catch up on your Netflix shows.
I don’t believe it will be an all day washout but periodic showers from start to finish look likely.
Check the 7-Day forecast here.
— Weekend Events —
The Nashville Pride Festival is back on Saturday from 10AM – 9PM and on Sunday from noon – 6PM at the Public Square downtown.
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Monster Jam will take place at Nissan Stadium on Saturday starting at 7PM.
Expect a chance for rain late in the evening.
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The Predators Craft Beer Festival is going on at Bridgestone Arena from 3PM – 7PM.
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The longest days of the year are here

Today is the last day of spring for Middle TN.

Even though we’ve felt like summer for several weeks now, it doesn’t officially begin until Thursday at 5:07AM.
What’s fun about the summer solstice is the day before and the day summer begins.
The reason is because it’s the two longest days of the year.
Today and tomorrow Middle TN will see 14 hours 37 minutes and 19 seconds of daylight.
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The Winter Solstice (first day of winter) on December 21st is when we see the shortest amount of daylight in the day.
On that day we will see 9 hours 41 minutes 54 seconds of daylight.
Beginning Friday our amount of daylight during the days will decrease.
It’s a slow decrease in daylight hours but over several months it’s mind blowing how much light we lose.
Here’s a look at the sunset times for the next few weeks.
Notice how soon sunset is once we get to September and especially Daylight Saving Time in November.
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Here Comes Rain & the Potential for a Few Strong Storms

Rain and thunderstorms have been very spotty over the last few days.  That will change dramatically Thursday and Friday as our next important weather system moves into Middle Tennessee.

Here’s a bird’s eye view (so to speak) of that system — the one over southeast Texas.

SATRAD_3D

Notice how the chance for rain each day will ramp up and peak on Thursday and Friday because of this weather set-up.  It won’t rain all day either of those days.  Showers and thunderstorms will just be more common and frequent.  Most areas will receive at least some rain on both Thursday and Friday.  Many areas will actually receive multiple rounds of rain.

Rain Chance GRAPH_Days

As for this evening, expect just very isolated showers to continue to diminish.  As of just before 5pm, there were only a few showers over West Tennessee.

VIDEO LYNX

Temperatures were in the 90s again, with the heat index for most around 100.

DMA Temps_NoSponsor

Tonight will be mainly clear and uneventful.  Spotty storms will develop tomorrow from about mid morning on.

Highs tomorrow will be in the low 90s.

iCAST TomorrowsHighs

FUTURECAST shows how storms will materialize Thursday.  Any areas that warm well into the 80s either Thursday or Friday could have a strong storm or two during the afternoon.  Damaging wind and large hail (1″ diameter or less) would be the primary threats.

Watch Lisa Spencer tonight on News4 at 5pm, 6pm, 6:30pm, and 10pm.  She’ll help you make outdoor plans for the weekend by sharing her latest thoughts on Friday through Sunday.

DT

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A Taste of Florida

Radiant sunshine is warming things up quickly this morning! It is only 8:43 AM and temperatures are already touching the lower 80s..

DMA Temps_Servpro

Dew point news: feeling like a swamp.. down right oppressive.

DMA Dew Points

Daytime highs will climb into the lower 90s, about five degrees above average. iCAST TodaysHighs

Factoring in high humidity, here’s what it will really feel like..iCAST HeatIndex_OneTime

Daytime heating + humidity = spotty afternoon storms. If you plan on grilling out this evening, we cannot rule out an isolated storm but most will be dry by this point.Grilling Forecast

Our low pollen count our friends who suffer with allergies a bit of a break. 🙂Pollen Forecast

Spotty to scattered storms are in store for Wednesday before an even better chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms arrive on Thursday and Friday. With increased cloud cover and rain, we’ll see a slight relief from the heat, in the upper 80s.

7 Day AM

Join Meteorologist Dan Thomas for an update on this weeks storm timing on News 4 at noon today.

Be Blessed,

Daphne DeLoren

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About to Trade Stifling Heat for Rain

After 11 of the last 13 days having high temperatures in the 90s, the heat will soon abate some as rain becomes an even bigger player in our forecast.

The reason for this change is a cluster of thunderstorms over the western Gulf of Mexico.

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That’s a weak area of low pressure that’s made for very heavy rain today in east Texas and Louisiana.

Over the next couple of days, that system will track northeastward toward Middle Tennessee, bringing more clouds and quite a bit of rain to the Mid South.

Notice how the rain chance will ramp up accordingly, especially Thursday and Friday.

Rain Chance GRAPH_Days

As for tonight and tomorrow, expect spotty showers and storms to dissipate by 9pm this evening.

They’ll reform tomorrow around midday.

Wednesday will bring a slightly better chance for showers and thunderstorms as our system in the Gulf of Mexico approaches.  FUTURECAST reflects that.

Then, Thursday through the start of the weekend will be wetter than normal.  It won’t rain the whole time, but clouds will easily prevail helping to keep temperatures in check.

7 Day AM.png

Watch Lisa Spencer tonight at 10pm.  She’ll have a new set of data to share with you, showing where the greatest likelihood for storms will be tomorrow.

DT

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Sizzling Heat Ahead

We all need an “I Survived” t-shirt! This past weekend was the hottest one so far this year. Nashville hit 96 both on Saturday and on Sunday. Crossville set a new record tying the 89 hit back in 2015.

We’ll keep the heat going this week! Since temperatures were so high yesterday, temperatures have not had a chance to recover overnight. Waking up to unseasonably warm temperatures in the low to mid 70s (7:40 AM).

DMA Temps_NoSponsor

Dew points are the best measure to how muggy it is outside. Upper 60s to lower 70s makes it feel like soup! Welcome to South Florida.. minus the beach!DMA Dew Points

Highs remain above average in the lower 90s but factoring in the high humidity, it will feel more like the upper 90s to triple digits. iCAST TodaysHighs

Another factor that will determine who sees upper 90 heat indices to triple digits.. just how early thunderstorms start to pop up. If we get storms popping up a bit earlier in the morning, this will help with a cooling effect = more mid to upper 90 heat indices. If storms hold until the afternoon = no cooling effect and more upper 90 to triple digit heat indices. Make sense?iCAST HeatIndex_OneTime

A Heat Advisory remains in effect for areas under the ORANGE color. Just because you’re not under the orange, you should take the same precautions. Please remember to hydrate, even when you’re not thirsty. If you’re working outside, take air conditioning and shade brings. Children, elderly and pets should limit time outdoors.  WATCHWARN_2

Today’s storms will be due to a combo of the heat and high humidity.. mainly during the afternoon into the early evening.FutCAST RPMb4km SATRADFutCAST RPMb4km SATRAD1FutCAST RPMb4km SATRAD2FutCAST RPMb4km SATRAD3

Much of the same tomorrow! As high pressure slide to the east, a few upper level systems will push through the Mid State increasing shower and storm chances later into the week. The best chance for scattered storms will be on Thursday, Friday and Saturday.7 Day AM

Dan Thomas will have an update on the timing of the rain this week on News 4 Today at noon.

Make it a great week!

-Daphne DeLoren

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