To say the least, it’s been a frustrating experience to try to pin down the details of what/where/when with this system. Here’s my best effort…
12:30pm UPDATE: dry air over the Midstate is definitely eating away at the snow’s northward progress. I’d bet on the later end of the arrival times outlined in the video.
Their updated snowfall estimate:
I still think those numbers are too high for Metro Nashville — I stand by the pattern I outlined in the video, with a sharper gradient between “a lot” (along the TN/AL line) and “nothing” in northwest Middle Tennessee and the western half of southern Kentucky. As I’ve said in previous blog posts, I point out the difference between my forecast and NWS-Nashville not as a criticism of their work (we coordinate with and just genuinely LIKE the folks at NWS!) but as an example of how experienced forecasters can interpret the data in slightly different ways.
As I mentioned in the video, I’ll post any other updated NWS graphics in this space. Stay tuned for more updates during our normal newscasts this evening. I’ll be posting updates on social media as well until I go to bed (don’t even ask how early that is)…and then I’ll see you dark and early Thursday morning!
Social media links