March 22: Increasing Chances of Rain

It was a beautiful day, lots of sunshine and slightly warmer temperatures. The high in Nashville reached 57° after a morning low of 30°. Tonight lows will still be below average but not quite as cold as last night. The low in Nashville will drop to 36, but it will still be near freezing along the Upper Cumberland Plateau where a Freeze Warning is in effect again.


Clouds will also increase tonight. Tomorrow will be mostly cloudy with a couple of light showers will be possible. Here’s a look at Futurecast.

An approaching front brings a better chance of rain Saturday. A few thunderstorms are likely late Saturday (afternoon and evening). I am not expecting those to be severe. Notice on the Futurecast model that the western part of the mid state remains dry most of the day.




On Sunday, the weather will improve, but remain relatively cloudy with a high in the low 60s.. Monday will bring another round of showers. Temperatures will still be seasonal.

2018 4DAY UBER.png

I’ll have an update on News 4 at 10pm.

Lisa Spencer



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4 Things to Know About Our Weather

There are 4 things to know about our weather.  They are…

1) Enjoy the sunshine!  It’s about to go away for a while.

Today’s about as sunny as could be.  This view is from downtown just after midday.

DMA Temps.png

Notice there ARE some clouds farther north, but they’ll only gradually filter in late this afternoon.


Temperatures as of noon are below average — mainly in the 40s and 50s.

DMA Temps2.png

Clouds will increase tonight and prevail tomorrow.  Clouds will actually win out well through the weekend and much of next week, too as several rain systems move through.

2) Rain will be a recurring theme moving forward.

Even though today’s dry, notice the rain chance will be ramping up quite a bit.

Rain Chance GRAPH_Days.png

Early tomorrow, a few spotty showers will move in.


Rain will become more widespread tomorrow night, with the focus then along the TN/KY line.  Rain will come in waves on Saturday too.  Then, a cold front passing through late on Saturday could trigger a few thunderstorms especially southeast of Nashville.


3) Potential exists for heavy rain next week.

After a mostly dry Sunday, a showery Monday, a mostly dry Tuesday, and a showery Wednesday, heavy downpours will develop Thursday into Friday.   Unless that system changes, I expect 1″-3″ of rain to fall with it over our area.

7 Day AM

4) One more cold night and cool day — then temperatures rebound.

You probably also noticed from the forecast above that temperatures will rise to more typical levels after tomorrow.  The average high this time of year is in the low-mid 60s.  We’ll be right around that level this weekend and for most of next week.

Be sure to watch News 4 later today.  Lisa Spencer will take another look at this weekend’s weather maker and show you where, if anywhere, frost may form again tonight.



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March 21: Cold First Full Day of Spring

***A Freeze Warning in effect for Middle TN from 1:00 AM to 9:00 AM Thursday

Sun for most, but snow for a few today. In Nashville the sun could only warm things to 51° this afternoon, but it felt colder because of the wind. A mostly clear sky means another cold night with lows at or below freezing.  A Freeze Warming has been issued.


Lows will drop to the 20s to the east.  Beware of slick spots on roads tomorrow morning especially where the snow was most significant.

iCAST TonightsLows.png

Some snow showers lingered into the evening along the Upper Cumberland Plateau region. Huge totals of 3″-6″ were measured in some of the higher elevations. Clarkrange recorded 6″.


More sunshine tomorrow and a little warmer with a high near 56.

Clouds increase Friday bringing some showers mainly east of I-65. Here is the latest Futurecast depiction.


The rain continues through Saturday.


Rain will diminish on early Sunday. Right now Sunday afternoon looks to be the best time to be outdoor. Temperatures will moderate over the weekend.

2018 4DAY UBER

Next week will be unsettled with more rain chances but seasonal temperatures.

On a side note. The National Weather Service office in Huntsville has now confirmed a second tornado, an EF0 in Decherd in Franklin County.  There was also a EF2 in Ardmore, AL just over the state border.

Join me at 10pm on News 4 for an update.

Lisa Spencer

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Brrr! Spring has Sprung

It is the first day of Spring but it feels like winter. Temperatures will continue to fall tonight to freezing by morning. Today’s high was 56° recorded at 1:46 PM at Nashville International. By 4 PM it was 42°. A Freeze Warning is in effect for the mid state from 1:00 AM to 10:00 AM.


Lingering rain  from yesterday is changing to snow showers  tonight.

Temp 1

Snow in Clarksville by Doris Greene Griffy

That snow will continue into early Wednesday morning in Southern Kentucky, our northern counties in Tennessee, and on the Plateau. With that in mind a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for the Plateau, some Southern KY and some northern TN counties from 10:00 PM tonight until 10:00 AM Wednesday.


Here is the latest timeline on the snow with Futurecast.


As  you might expect, the Cumberland Plateau and the Highland Rim will receive some snow accumulations. The Jamestown estimate may be overdone, but I think that is the most likely spot for significant accumulation.

2018 RPM_fc SNOWFALL.png

Cool, but sunny weather continues throughout the work week. Rain chances ramp up this weekend.

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A recap from last night’s severe weather. An EF2 has been confirmed in Ardmore, Alabama, that is on the Tennessee and Alabama border. Some homes were heavily damaged but thankfully no deaths. Here are the images as that storms tracked along the border.


I’ll have an update on tonight’s cold wintry weather on News 4 at 10pm.

Lisa Spencer

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Snow on the first day of Spring?!

Happy first day of SPRING! ….. but don’t expect any warm weather today!

Despite what the calendar says, it’s actually going to be the coldest day this week!
(Ironic, huh?)

Temperatures have already been their warmest today– starting off in the 50s– but they’ll continue to drop throughout the day into the low 40s by 3 P.M.

Day Planner AMShow

Not only will you need to get your coat back out of the closet… you’ll need the umbrella, too!  Rain showers are expected all afternoon.  That rain will eventually change over into a rain/snow mix later tonight as the temperatures drop even more, near freezing.

SKY1 Evening

***A Freeze Warning in effect for Middle TN from 1:00 AM to 10:00 AM Wednesday

***A Winter Weather Advisory in effect for the Plateau, some Southern KY and some northern TN counties from 10:00 PM tonight until 10:00 AM Wednesday.


That’s because all of the midstate will be either near, at, or below freezing later tonight:

iCAST TonightsLows

Morning to afternoon showers will hang around until early evening… before the rain starts pushing off toward our eastern counties.


The precipitation will switch over to a rain/snow mix, before becoming full on snow, for areas east of I-65, but mainly the Upper Cumberland Plateau and some areas of southern Kentucky.  A few northern counties in middle Tennessee could see a light dusting.


Some areas in the Plateau could see slick roads for the morning commute Wednesday.

I think when this is all said and done, some areas in the Plateau could get about an inch of accumulation.  Most spots will only see a dusting to maybe half an inch.

Temperatures won’t be cold enough to hold that snow for most.  However, very eastern areas like Crossville won’t even break out of the 30s for daytime highs, so some snow on the ground could be likely in the afternoon… but I think the sunshine will do its job to melt any leftover dusting away.

iCAST TomorrowsHighs

Despite Wednesday being cooler, we’ll see mostly sunny skies.  The sunshine will stick around through Thursday before our next rain chances move in on Friday and into the weekend.  Thunderstorms are possible through the weekend and into Monday, so stay tuned to News4 for updates on that.

-Melanie Layden

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March 19: 4WARN Weather Alert Day

Today is a 4WARN Weather Alert Day.  It will start off mostly cloudy, before a threat for strong-severe thunderstorms this afternoon.

All of the midstate is under a severe risk, however areas south of I-40 are under an Enhanced Risk and will see the greatest risk for major severe potential, including tornadoes.


Damaging winds up to 60 MPH… large hail up to golf ball size… and even isolated tornadoes will all be possible during the afternoon.

What to Expect

The strongest storms look like they’ll move in from the west around 1:00 – 2:00 P.M. Thunderstorms will be widespread throughout the day, but the threat for possible tornadoes look to stay south of I-40 and east of I-65.

Here’s the timeline:


Temperatures will rise to the upper 60s to low 70s today.  Winds start to pick up in the afternoon. Thunderstorms could also start getting severe into the afternoon hours.

Day Planner AMShow

Rain will linger into tomorrow and stick around most of the day.  Some of that rain will switch over into a rain/snow mix by Tuesday night into Wednesday morning– mainly for southern Kentucky, a few northern counties, and the Cumberland Plateau.

We’ll see a few dry, sunny days mid-week, before more rain chances ramp up Friday into this weekend.  Thunderstorms are possible this weekend, as well.

Rain Chance GRAPH_Days

Stay with News4 for updates on any changes to the timing of today’s storms.  Be sure to download the News4 weather app to your smartphone and make sure you have a safe, low-level, interior room to get to in case of a tornado outbreak.



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March 18: Severe Weather Threat Tomorrow

Happy Sunday!  We can expect mostly cloudy skies and it will be cooler today than it was yesterday, but still pleasant with highs in the mid-60s.

Day Planner AMShow

Although cloudy today, we won’t see rain this afternoon.  The rain moves in overnight. It starts out as just plain ole rain… then intensifies Monday afternoon to thunderstorms with the potential to be very severe.

We can expect a wet Monday morning commute and an even worse evening commute.

Here’s the timeline:


The rain will break up around lunchtime, but then come back in full force later in the afternoon, bringing in thunderstorms and potential severe weather including damaging winds, large hail, and even isolated tornadoes.


Here’s what I think the greatest threats will be for us tomorrow:

What to Expect

It’s important to stay weather-aware tomorrow. Go ahead and download the 4WARN Weather App to your phone so you can stay updated on any changes.

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